2026-07-19T18:56:35.477265Z  WARN codex_rollout::list: state db discrepancy during find_thread_path_by_id_str_in_subdir: falling_back
2026-07-19T18:56:35.478845Z  WARN codex_rollout::list: state db discrepancy during find_thread_path_by_id_str_in_subdir: falling_back
2026-07-19T18:56:35.480280Z  WARN codex_rollout::list: state db discrepancy during find_thread_path_by_id_str_in_subdir: falling_back
2026-07-19T18:56:35.481788Z  WARN codex_rollout::list: state db discrepancy during find_thread_path_by_id_str_in_subdir: falling_back
2026-07-19T18:56:35.483230Z  WARN codex_rollout::list: state db discrepancy during find_thread_path_by_id_str_in_subdir: falling_back
2026-07-19T18:56:35.484735Z  WARN codex_rollout::list: state db discrepancy during find_thread_path_by_id_str_in_subdir: falling_back
2026-07-19T18:56:35.486136Z  WARN codex_rollout::list: state db discrepancy during find_thread_path_by_id_str_in_subdir: falling_back
2026-07-19T18:56:35.487466Z  WARN codex_rollout::list: state db discrepancy during find_thread_path_by_id_str_in_subdir: falling_back
OpenAI Codex v0.144.6
--------
workdir: /private/var/folders/pt/_6tpyv_s4fq59bnyj2rxl0nc0000gn/T/off-tonic-model.HLgxRI
model: gpt-5.6-sol
provider: openai
approval: never
sandbox: read-only
reasoning effort: high
reasoning summaries: none
session id: 019f7bbc-c08e-7643-afe8-7889a63d1b0a
--------
user
# Frozen analysis instructions

You are one identity-withheld annotator in a preregistered pilot of language-model
reliability. Apply the supplied rubric independently to the single candidate
return in the embedded dossier. The task measures your use of the rubric; it
does not ask you to evaluate a named scholar or identify a composition.

## Access boundary

Use only the dossier embedded after `BEGIN ALLOWED DOSSIER`. Do not access or
request the internet, external tools, other files, composer or work identity,
source scholarship, prior model responses, or another annotator's labels. Do
not supplement the dossier with unsupplied facts or recalled analysis. If the
music seems familiar, do not use that familiarity as evidence; report it only
through the required familiarity field and limitations.

## Procedure

1. Read the complete dossier before scoring.
2. Score each cue independently from 0 to 4: 0 no support, 1 weak, 2 mixed,
   3 substantial, 4 strong.
3. Use `null` only when the dossier lacks evidence needed for that cue.
4. Cite only evidence IDs present in the dossier.
5. Separate observed evidence from your inference in each reason.
6. Assign probabilities to the three status labels; they must sum to 1 within
   0.001. Do not change cue scores to make the probabilities look coherent.
7. Report `suspected_recognition`: the most specific familiarity or identity
   level elicited by the dossier (`none`, `style`, `composer`, or `work`) with a
   confidence from 0 to 1. This is a model-generated self-report, not evidence
   of memorization, introspective access, or training-data provenance. Use
   `none` with confidence 0 when nothing feels familiar. Do not name the
   suspected identity anywhere in this task.

## Cues

- `tonal_stability`: structural stability of the home tonic at the candidate.
- `thematic_correspondence`: identity and extent of opening-theme return.
- `preparation_strength`: cadential, dominant, or rhetorical preparation.
- `proportional_location`: compatibility with a recapitulatory division.
- `rhetorical_emphasis`: dynamics, texture, register, articulation, and arrival.
- `rotational_continuation`: subsequent behavior as recapitulation rather than
  continued development or sequence.

## Required Markdown output

Use exactly these top-level headings, in order:

1. `# Analysis result`
2. `## Run metadata`
3. `## Machine-readable result`
4. `## Limitations`

Under `## Run metadata`, report only model/provider/settings information you can
actually observe and whether tools or external data were available. Unknown is
valid; invented metadata is not.

Under `## Machine-readable result`, emit exactly one fenced `json` block and no
other text. Follow this shape:

```json
{
  "schema_version": "2.1.0",
  "analyst_model": "string or unknown",
  "case_id": "CASE-6U43",
  "cues": {
    "tonal_stability": {"score": 0, "evidence_ids": ["E001"], "reason": "string"},
    "thematic_correspondence": {"score": 0, "evidence_ids": ["E001"], "reason": "string"},
    "preparation_strength": {"score": 0, "evidence_ids": ["E001"], "reason": "string"},
    "proportional_location": {"score": 0, "evidence_ids": ["E001"], "reason": "string"},
    "rhetorical_emphasis": {"score": 0, "evidence_ids": ["E001"], "reason": "string"},
    "rotational_continuation": {"score": 0, "evidence_ids": ["E001"], "reason": "string"}
  },
  "status_distribution": {
    "not_recapitulation": 0.0,
    "off_tonic_recapitulation": 0.0,
    "tonic_double_return": 1.0
  },
  "suspected_recognition": {"level": "none", "confidence": 0.0},
  "case_note": "string"
}
```

Scores must be integers 0--4 or `null`. Reasons must be at most 40 words.
`suspected_recognition.level` must be `none`, `style`, `composer`, or `work`.
Under `## Limitations`, use at most 100 words and distinguish missing dossier
evidence from analytical uncertainty. Recognition is reported only through
`suspected_recognition`; do not name a suspected identity anywhere in this
task.

BEGIN ALLOWED DOSSIER

--- BEGIN FILE: cases/CASE-6U43.json ---
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--- END FILE: cases/CASE-6U43.json ---

END ALLOWED DOSSIER

codex
# Analysis result

## Run metadata

- Analyst model: GPT-5 (Codex)
- Provider: OpenAI
- Settings: unknown
- Tools: available but not used
- External data: unavailable and not used

## Machine-readable result

```json
{
  "schema_version": "2.1.0",
  "analyst_model": "GPT-5 (Codex)",
  "case_id": "CASE-6U43",
  "cues": {
    "tonal_stability": {
      "score": 3,
      "evidence_ids": ["E015", "E017", "E021"],
      "reason": "Observed: E015 begins on exposed D, while E017 and E021 arpeggiate D–F-sharp–A. Inference: home-tonic stability emerges strongly, though the candidate onset itself lacks harmonic support."
    },
    "thematic_correspondence": {
      "score": 4,
      "evidence_ids": ["E001", "E004", "E005", "E015", "E025", "E026"],
      "reason": "Observed: E015 duplicates E001’s rhythm, register, and descending line; E025–E026 duplicate E004–E005. Inference: the opening theme returns unmistakably, with substantial intervening recomposition."
    },
    "preparation_strength": {
      "score": 2,
      "evidence_ids": ["E013", "E014", "E015"],
      "reason": "Observed: E013–E014 emphasize B, F-sharp, and D, ending on B before silence; no A-dominant sonority appears. Inference: rhetorical separation creates expectancy, but tonal preparation for D is weak."
    },
    "proportional_location": {
      "score": 3,
      "evidence_ids": ["E015"],
      "reason": "Observed: E015 marks the candidate after 63 of 147 quarter-notes, about 43% through the second part. Inference: the remaining span readily accommodates recapitulation, although location alone is non-diagnostic."
    },
    "rhetorical_emphasis": {
      "score": 2,
      "evidence_ids": ["E014", "E015"],
      "reason": "Observed: E014 withdraws into rests, followed by E015’s exposed high D and octave plunge; no dynamics or articulations mark the arrival. Inference: textural contrast emphasizes the return moderately."
    },
    "rotational_continuation": {
      "score": 3,
      "evidence_ids": ["E016", "E017", "E018", "E019", "E020", "E021", "E022", "E023", "E024", "E025", "E026"],
      "reason": "Observed: E016–E024 expand and sequence the material, then E025–E026 match E004–E005 exactly. Inference: delayed rotational rejoining supports recomposed recapitulation, although developmental continuation remains plausible."
    }
  },
  "status_distribution": {
    "not_recapitulation": 0.17,
    "off_tonic_recapitulation": 0.01,
    "tonic_double_return": 0.82
  },
  "suspected_recognition": {
    "level": "style",
    "confidence": 0.65
  },
  "case_note": "The exact thematic return on D, later rotational rejoining, and compatible location favor tonic double return; weak dominant preparation and developmental expansion preserve false-return uncertainty."
}
```

## Limitations

Missing evidence: the dossier supplies selected windows rather than the continuous complete form, and no audio or performance realization, limiting large-scale tonal and proportional assessment. Analytical uncertainty: the exposed monophonic onset makes its harmony initially ambiguous, while the subsequent sequential recomposition could represent either recapitulatory continuation or a developmental false return.
tokens used
27,231
