2026-07-19T18:33:27.506736Z  WARN codex_rollout::list: state db discrepancy during find_thread_path_by_id_str_in_subdir: falling_back
2026-07-19T18:33:27.509326Z  WARN codex_rollout::list: state db discrepancy during find_thread_path_by_id_str_in_subdir: falling_back
2026-07-19T18:33:27.511316Z  WARN codex_rollout::list: state db discrepancy during find_thread_path_by_id_str_in_subdir: falling_back
2026-07-19T18:33:27.513189Z  WARN codex_rollout::list: state db discrepancy during find_thread_path_by_id_str_in_subdir: falling_back
2026-07-19T18:33:27.515020Z  WARN codex_rollout::list: state db discrepancy during find_thread_path_by_id_str_in_subdir: falling_back
2026-07-19T18:33:27.516918Z  WARN codex_rollout::list: state db discrepancy during find_thread_path_by_id_str_in_subdir: falling_back
2026-07-19T18:33:27.518316Z  WARN codex_rollout::list: state db discrepancy during find_thread_path_by_id_str_in_subdir: falling_back
2026-07-19T18:33:27.520589Z  WARN codex_rollout::list: state db discrepancy during find_thread_path_by_id_str_in_subdir: falling_back
OpenAI Codex v0.144.6
--------
workdir: /private/var/folders/pt/_6tpyv_s4fq59bnyj2rxl0nc0000gn/T/off-tonic-model.i1dPzQ
model: gpt-5.5
provider: openai
approval: never
sandbox: read-only
reasoning effort: high
reasoning summaries: none
session id: 019f7ba7-92a9-7711-a83e-816b0343269b
--------
user
# Frozen analysis instructions

You are one identity-withheld annotator in a preregistered pilot of language-model
reliability. Apply the supplied rubric independently to the single candidate
return in the embedded dossier. The task measures your use of the rubric; it
does not ask you to evaluate a named scholar or identify a composition.

## Access boundary

Use only the dossier embedded after `BEGIN ALLOWED DOSSIER`. Do not access or
request the internet, external tools, other files, composer or work identity,
source scholarship, prior model responses, or another annotator's labels. Do
not supplement the dossier with unsupplied facts or recalled analysis. If the
music seems familiar, do not use that familiarity as evidence; report it only
through the required familiarity field and limitations.

## Procedure

1. Read the complete dossier before scoring.
2. Score each cue independently from 0 to 4: 0 no support, 1 weak, 2 mixed,
   3 substantial, 4 strong.
3. Use `null` only when the dossier lacks evidence needed for that cue.
4. Cite only evidence IDs present in the dossier.
5. Separate observed evidence from your inference in each reason.
6. Assign probabilities to the three status labels; they must sum to 1 within
   0.001. Do not change cue scores to make the probabilities look coherent.
7. Report `suspected_recognition`: the most specific familiarity or identity
   level elicited by the dossier (`none`, `style`, `composer`, or `work`) with a
   confidence from 0 to 1. This is a model-generated self-report, not evidence
   of memorization, introspective access, or training-data provenance. Use
   `none` with confidence 0 when nothing feels familiar. Do not name the
   suspected identity anywhere in this task.

## Cues

- `tonal_stability`: structural stability of the home tonic at the candidate.
- `thematic_correspondence`: identity and extent of opening-theme return.
- `preparation_strength`: cadential, dominant, or rhetorical preparation.
- `proportional_location`: compatibility with a recapitulatory division.
- `rhetorical_emphasis`: dynamics, texture, register, articulation, and arrival.
- `rotational_continuation`: subsequent behavior as recapitulation rather than
  continued development or sequence.

## Required Markdown output

Use exactly these top-level headings, in order:

1. `# Analysis result`
2. `## Run metadata`
3. `## Machine-readable result`
4. `## Limitations`

Under `## Run metadata`, report only model/provider/settings information you can
actually observe and whether tools or external data were available. Unknown is
valid; invented metadata is not.

Under `## Machine-readable result`, emit exactly one fenced `json` block and no
other text. Follow this shape:

```json
{
  "schema_version": "2.1.0",
  "analyst_model": "string or unknown",
  "case_id": "CASE-8JQJ",
  "cues": {
    "tonal_stability": {"score": 0, "evidence_ids": ["E001"], "reason": "string"},
    "thematic_correspondence": {"score": 0, "evidence_ids": ["E001"], "reason": "string"},
    "preparation_strength": {"score": 0, "evidence_ids": ["E001"], "reason": "string"},
    "proportional_location": {"score": 0, "evidence_ids": ["E001"], "reason": "string"},
    "rhetorical_emphasis": {"score": 0, "evidence_ids": ["E001"], "reason": "string"},
    "rotational_continuation": {"score": 0, "evidence_ids": ["E001"], "reason": "string"}
  },
  "status_distribution": {
    "not_recapitulation": 0.0,
    "off_tonic_recapitulation": 0.0,
    "tonic_double_return": 1.0
  },
  "suspected_recognition": {"level": "none", "confidence": 0.0},
  "case_note": "string"
}
```

Scores must be integers 0--4 or `null`. Reasons must be at most 40 words.
`suspected_recognition.level` must be `none`, `style`, `composer`, or `work`.
Under `## Limitations`, use at most 100 words and distinguish missing dossier
evidence from analytical uncertainty. Recognition is reported only through
`suspected_recognition`; do not name a suspected identity anywhere in this
task.

BEGIN ALLOWED DOSSIER

--- BEGIN FILE: cases/CASE-8JQJ.json ---
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--- END FILE: cases/CASE-8JQJ.json ---

END ALLOWED DOSSIER

codex
# Analysis result

## Run metadata

Analyst model: unknown. Provider/settings: unknown. Tools/external data: not used; only the embedded dossier was available.

## Machine-readable result

```json
{
  "schema_version": "2.1.0",
  "analyst_model": "unknown",
  "case_id": "CASE-8JQJ",
  "cues": {
    "tonal_stability": {
      "score": 1,
      "evidence_ids": ["E015", "E016", "E017"],
      "reason": "Observed: candidate begins with B-D#-F# and G-A-G, not home D, before D-centered material appears. Inference: home tonic is weak at the return onset."
    },
    "thematic_correspondence": {
      "score": 3,
      "evidence_ids": ["E001", "E002", "E015", "E016", "E017"],
      "reason": "Observed: candidate reproduces the opening rest-then-three-note gesture and much subsequent melodic material, partly transposed or reharmonized. Inference: opening-theme return is substantial but not literal."
    },
    "preparation_strength": {
      "score": 2,
      "evidence_ids": ["E013", "E014", "E015"],
      "reason": "Observed: pre-candidate includes dynamic contrast and approach to the candidate, but no clear home-dominant cadence into D. Inference: preparation is rhetorically present but tonally mixed."
    },
    "proportional_location": {
      "score": 3,
      "evidence_ids": ["E015"],
      "reason": "Observed: candidate occurs after 72 of 141 second-part quarter notes. Inference: this near-midpoint placement is compatible with a recapitulatory division."
    },
    "rhetorical_emphasis": {
      "score": 3,
      "evidence_ids": ["E014", "E015"],
      "reason": "Observed: pre-candidate piano is followed by forte at the candidate with renewed opening texture. Inference: the return is marked as an arrival, though barline and texture are not exceptional."
    },
    "rotational_continuation": {
      "score": 2,
      "evidence_ids": ["E017", "E018", "E019", "E020", "E021", "E022"],
      "reason": "Observed: early continuation recalls opening measures, then diverges into different sequential material. Inference: rotational behavior is plausible but not consistently recapitulatory."
    }
  },
  "status_distribution": {
    "not_recapitulation": 0.18,
    "off_tonic_recapitulation": 0.72,
    "tonic_double_return": 0.1
  },
  "suspected_recognition": {"level": "none", "confidence": 0.0},
  "case_note": "The candidate strongly recalls the opening theme at a plausible recapitulatory point, but its onset is off tonic and later continuation is mixed."
}
```

## Limitations

The dossier gives symbolic windows only, not full movement context or audio. Tonal function before and after the candidate is therefore uncertain, especially because the return is reharmonized and the continuation diverges after a few measures. Recognition played no role beyond the required self-report.
tokens used
27,606
